This is an official YAMM alert: I may have blown a prediction.
Now, this shouldn't be news. Lots of people, including me, screw up predictions all the damn time. However, fairness demands, that since I tout successes like my conclusively proven assertion that Jean Schmidt decorates her home with lampshades made from human skin, I must also fess up on some small percentage of the things I get wrong.
Now, it's not yet clear that I was wrong, but it's beginning to look like I might have done. In fact, it's beginning to look like, in the event that I was only partially wrong, I was, still, a wee bit wrong.
The topic is The Bughammer, of whom I wrote this. It appears, at this writing, that it will be pretty much technically impossible for The Bughammer to be a member of Congress on September 29, 2006, the first anniversary of the above post. However, there is an ongoing fight to keep him on the ballot for the general election in his district in Tejas, and if he's there? He'll be elected, convict or not.
So the sum is this: I was almost certainly wrong about the date. It is possible that I was wrong about The Bughammer regaining his leadership position. I'm not giving up on the possibility that he will, even while getting ass-plowed in the Texas State Prison at Scorpionville, get re-elected. And you shouldn't either.